LCDHD reports 9 new cases over the weekend in Adair

Posted

Sunday, Oct. 4, 2020

From Lake Cumberland District Health Department:

Statewide Testing Positivity Rate: 4.74%.

Deaths: We are happy to report no new deaths today. We have experienced a total of 71 deaths resulting in a 2.36% mortality rate among known cases. This compares with a 1.66% mortality rate at the state level, and a 2.83% morality rate at the national level.

Hospitalizations: We presently have 17 cases in the hospital. This is 2 more than yesterday. The most hospitalizations we have had at any one time was 33 on 09/02/2020. We have had a total of 247 hospitalizations resulting in a 8.21% hospitalization rate among known cases. The state hospitalization rate is 7.38%. The latest state data shows that 69% of ICU beds and 26% of ventilator capacity are being utilized.

Total (Cumulative) Cases: The Lake Cumberland District has experienced a total of 3,008 cases since the onset of the outbreak. This means that 1.44% of our total population have been a confirmed case. However, we do not know how many additional people may have had COVID-19 and were either asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic and never tested.

Released (Not contagious) Cases: We released 24 cases today from isolation. Released cases include: Clinton: 1; Cumberland: 1; Green: 3; McCreary: 7; Pulaski: 5; and, Wayne: 7. In all, we have released 88.4% of our total cases.

Active (Current) Cases: We released 2 more cases today than we added new cases. Taking all things into account, this leaves us with 279 active cases in our district across all 10 of our district’s 10 counties. On 09/02/2020 we were at our peak number of active cases, 411.

Where are Cases Tied to: The most common areas to which where we are seeing cases tied are (in descending order): Businesses, Schools, Family, and Medical Facilities.

New Cases: We report that our total case count has increased by 22 today: Adair: 1; Casey: 1; Clinton: 2; Green: 2; McCreary: 2; Pulaski: 4; Russell: 1; Taylor: 4; and, Wayne: 5. Our current new case growth rate is: 1.012. This means our total case count is projected to double every 60.16 days. The most new cases we ever added in a single day was on 08/26/2020 when we added 75 cases. Today’s new cases include:

Adair: A 66-year-old male who is self-isolated, asymptomatic

Casey: A 22-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Clinton: A 75-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Clinton: A 69-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Green: A 59-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Green: A 60-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

McCreary: A 90-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

McCreary: A 31-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Pulaski: A 70-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Pulaski: A 80-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Pulaski: A 71-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Pulaski: A 24-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Russell: A 6-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Taylor: A 23-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Taylor: A 45-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Taylor: A 21-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Taylor: A 33-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Wayne: A 72-year-old male who is released, 3/31/20

Wayne: A 13-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Wayne: A 24-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Wayne: A 75-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Wayne: A 1-year-old male who is self-isolated, asymptomatic

Going by blocks of 500 cases, it took Lake Cumberland 113 days to get to 500 total cases; 20 additional days to get to 1,000 cases; 20 additional days to get to 1,500; 14 additional days to get to 2,000; 17 additional days to get to 2,500; and, 16 additional days to get to 3,000 total cases.

I have been asked why some of our counties are changed to “red” according to the federal/White House document but not according to the state/local data. To determine the color coding, the state/local and federal offices all utilize the incidence rate (new cases per 100,000); though the federal government also blends in the positivity rate (those testing positive divided by the total tests given). As far is the incidence rate goes, the state uses a 7-day average incidence rate (the average number of new cases during the last several days). The federal government uses the 7-day total of new cases per 100,000. On the state level a 7-day average of 25 or more cases, for example, indicates a color coding of “red-critical”. For the federal system, a 7-day total of 101 or more cases would indicate a “red” coding.

Since the state uses 25 per day as its standard, if that were converted to a 7-day total (25 x 7), the state system would allow 175 new cases per week before a “red” indication; the federal system uses 101. So, the federal system utilizes a lower standard for a red coding. That is why some counties the federal government codes as red never turn red under the state/local system.

Please, let’s all continue to do our part in slowing the spread of COVID-19 by wearing our face coverings, avoiding crowds (especially in confined spaces), social distancing when around others, increasing our hand hygiene, increasing our general sanitation, and by avoiding the touching of our faces.

The Lake Cumberland area has experienced 3,008 cumulative confirmed cases and there have been 72,668 confirmed COVID-19 cases across all 120 Kentucky Counties as of today (this includes 72,617 statewide plus 51 recently reported cases in Lake Cumberland not in the Governor’s/Department for Public Health’s daily report). Regardless of the confirmed case count for any Lake Cumberland County, we believe COVID-19 to be widespread. The LCDHD is working tirelessly, including nights and weekends, to identify and contact all those with whom any positive case may have come into close contact, and to follow-up daily with positive cases. Additionally, we are striving diligently to follow-up on business-related complaints regarding noncompliance with the Governor’s Executive Orders. We are also working with any community partner that requests assistance for prevention or post-exposure planning/response.

https://www.lcdhd.org/2020/10/04/public-information-brief-10-04-20/

Saturday, Oct. 3, 2020:

New Cases: We report that our total case count has increased by 27 today: Adair: 4; Casey: 1; Clinton: 4; Cumberland: 1; McCreary: 4; Pulaski: 3; Russell: 3; Taylor: 2; and, Wayne: 5. Our current new case growth rate is: 1.011. This means our total case count is projected to double every 61.34 days. The most new cases we ever added in a single day was on 08/26/2020 when we added 75 cases. Today’s new cases include:

Adair: A 81-year-old male who is self-isolated, asymptomatic

Adair: A 26-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Adair: A 31-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Adair: A 40-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Casey: A 55-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Clinton: A 46-year-old male who is released, 7/20/20

Clinton: A 71-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Clinton: A 47-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Clinton: A 69-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Cumberland: A 50-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

McCreary: A 23-year-old male who is self-isolated, asymptomatic

McCreary: A 51-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

McCreary: A 54-year-old male who is self-isolated, asymptomatic

McCreary: A 55-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Pulaski: A 44-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Pulaski: A 42-year-old female who is self-isolated, asymptomatic

Pulaski: A 48-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Russell: A 6-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Russell: A 18-year-old male who is self-isolated, asymptomatic

Russell: A 41-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Taylor: A 10-year-old male who is self-isolated, asymptomatic

Taylor: A 5-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Wayne: A 2-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Wayne: A 6-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Wayne: A 77-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Wayne: A 72-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Wayne: A 72-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Friday, Oct. 2, 2020

New Cases: We report that our total case count has increased by 33 today: Adair: 5; Clinton: 7; Green: 1; McCreary: 3; Pulaski: 3; Russell: 6; Taylor: 4; and, Wayne: 4. Our current new case growth rate is: 1.011. This means our total case count is projected to double every 63.97 days. The most new cases we ever added in a single day was on 08/26/2020 when we added 75 cases. Today’s new cases include:Adair: A 29-year-old female who is self-isolated, asymptomatic

Adair: A 41-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Adair: A 51-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Adair: A 58-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Adair: A 78-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Clinton: A 24-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Clinton: A 13-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Clinton: A 15-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Clinton: A 52-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Clinton: A 60-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Clinton: A 63-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Clinton: A 23-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Green: A 72-year-old female who is self-isolated, asymptomatic

McCreary: A 48-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

McCreary: A 76-year-old male who is self-isolated, asymptomatic

McCreary: A 36-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Pulaski: A 16-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Pulaski: A 49-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Pulaski: A 70-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Russell: A 19-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Russell: A 17-year-old female who is self-isolated, asymptomatic

Russell: A 70-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Russell: A 47-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Russell: A 26-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Russell: A 38-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Taylor: A 60-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Taylor: A 49-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Taylor: A 41-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Taylor: A 16-year-old female who is released, 9/30/20

Wayne: A 18-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Wayne: A 71-year-old male who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Wayne: A 37-year-old female who is self-isolated, still symptomatic

Wayne: A 61-year-old male who is self-isolated, asymptomatic

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